Gold Coast on ‘The Punt’

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Welcome to Brissyraces weekend on ‘The Punt’. This week we move to the GOLD COAST. UPDATE- THIS IS A MESS AFTER SCRATCHINGS!

It was nice to get 4 from the 7 selected last week but the confidence is not as high this week!

NOTE: This can be a nightmare for punters on the tight track with capacity fields, add to that the possibility of predicted storms  Friday and it could be messy….. As far as pattern goes your guess is as good as mine if we get the rain… I will be treading carefully..

I have something I can’t miss Friday, so this preview will be up a day early, another reason to watch the sky..

**THIS WILL BE UPDATED around 8:30am SATURDAY morning***

*As usual this is simply my view of the weekend races, feel free to do what you want with the info, there is no cost, no betting strategies so feel free to print off or send to racing friends!

*Prices are www.tatts.com prices at time of typing*

TRACK-    GOLD COAST

Rail-    True

Surface  (I have done this preview on a SLOW track, wait to see what it comes up Saturday)blackbook

BLACKBOOK Runners: *plenty of runners!

SATURDAY, 3 MAY 2014

Inkulu – Caulfield R4 No.5 (1200m): Improvement from last run would mean victory

Grapevine – Gold Coast R3 No.10 (1200m): Really well suited

Sagatona – Gold Coast R3 No.11 (1200m): Will run a race

Hollywood Barbie – Gold Coast R3 No.14 (1200m): The one who could be the surprise packet

Elmantosh – Gold Coast R7 No.9 (1800m): Getting to the right distance, will improve but hard assignment!

Angel Of Mercy – Gold Coast R7 No.11 (1800m):

Palmera Lad – Gold Coast R8 No.8 (1200m):

Blackboard Special – Gold Coast R8 No.19 (1200m):

Net Worth – Hawkesbury R1 No.8 (1300m):

La Amistad – Hawkesbury R4 No.17 (2100m): If she gets around SYD way can and should win

Race 1:Piney BBQ

PACE: Should be solid throughout if all run.

First race may prove first blowout?

Nothing would surprise me here. Want to throw THE WHITE HOPE on top but not sure he will even run on a wet track? He can lead and run a race if dry..

The top 3 COMMANDARE, MR FAVULOUS and LUCKY SOUND all sit handy to the speed and are all honest horses who will give a show.

At better odds the bottom 3 MONBAZILLAC, NICKY NOCKY and POWERFUL JET may well slip under the radar and the locals POWERFUL JET and NICKY NOCKY go extremely well around here.

SIR MOMENTS full of class and I’d watch any money!

On Top:   (WET- 1- COMMANDARE or 12- POWERFUL JET)

*(Best Mud Runners- COMMANDARE)

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Race 2:

PACE: Plenty of speed again from the gates. Should give every horse a chance.

Many of these horses met last start where BUSHY saluted. MORE LEVERAGE was 3rd, ALDINI 10th, HEART OF MANY 16th, DOUGHTY 7th (1.7L) and BINGO BOGGY 4th in a really even race.

Can make a case why each of those could turn the tables. If it was wet DOUGHTY enjoys those conditions and would be elevated up selections. On the other hand MORE LEVERAGE probably wants it dry and gets a great run in transit.

BUSHY does look to have come back and improved so another good run would be expected.

Going for the fresh blood here and think ESCOFFIER $8 is the best horse in the race. Fresh suits and can take care of them. The question is the wide gate but at that price it could be worth consideration. I will be having something on and just hoping it pans out early.

On Top:   JUST A PERLA +  DOUGHTY


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 Excellent Art x Ponte De Lima

Race 3:

PACE: If they all run as expected there will be good speed again, with leaders drawn in and out.

Cracking 2yr old race.

3-4 main chances and a bit of value getting about. GRAPEVINE and SAGATONA come out of the Shinji race and both are major players here! Both got back and attacked the line and both have a heap of quality. They can also sit a touch closer over the 1200m and with good gates. Slight leaning to GRAVEVINE with a swing in the weights.

 SARISARA also good on that occasion and will enjoy the extra trip.

AIMEE returns and although I’m not 100% sold she is as good as these she does get a chance here and is above avg.

The blowout is HOLLYWOOD BARBIE $15 from the Dunn stable. Won on debut, has trialled well and I wouldn’t be the least bit surprised to see her run over the top of them. Has a stack of ability!

On Top:   10- GRAPEVINE

Next Best:  11- SAGATONA

*(Best Mud Runners- Mostly unknown but SAGATONA has run well before + i think HOLLYWOOD BARBIE will handle it but who knows?)

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Race 4:

PACE: This race has been run at incredibly quick tempo over the years and although it may not look it on paper I’d be surprised if they didn’t go pretty hard up front again.

Although looking outclassed SNAPCRACKLE was $81 in some early markets and that’s over the odds, will run better than that.

LITTLE BIT DITSY should appreciate the wet track and Cahill gets every chance to settle where he wants from gate 7. Same story for SOME CALL HER WILD.

QUEST FOR PEACE jumped out of the ground last start and had ‘follow me’ written all over her. Interestingly is 1 from 1 on the wet too. Something tells me she might even improve off that run and be something to beat here!

ASADAUSKAITE ran 2nd to Best Yet To Come 2 starts ago and that filly beat most of these last start. That was over an unsuitable trip for this filly and 1800m on a wet track makes her the horse to beat. A nice improving Pentire filly.

PARIS MATCH will have support and PERMORMIA’s last effort was much better than it looks on paper.

**Very tough event!

On Top:   13- ASADAUSKAITE    +   7- QUEST FOR PEACE

Others:   5- SOME CALL HER WILD,  19- SNAPCRACKLE

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Race 5:

PACE: Not breakneck speed but solid enough to give them all a chance.

Another really even race. Perth visitor PLATINUM ROCKER is extremely good but has the grandstand to carry with 5kg more than any other runner.

Going for a couple of visitors here. Feel SEASIDE is an underrated mare and she still seems to be on the improve. Comes off a freshen-up here which suits, wet track is fine and most importantly I think the Leebaz and Five All form lines should be superior to most. Will need a pinch of luck from the gate but if you can make ground they will know she is there..

The other horse on the way up we don’t know a lot about is SRIKANDI, what we do know is she is a ‘winner’ with 3 wins and a placing from 4 starts. Boss will bounce her out and she will be on pace. 1 from 1 on a heavy and looks hard to beat.

Another visitor LA PIETA gets through the ground and is another who has improved each prep, this could well be the trip that is the making of her.

I thought JACQUETTA could have been anything but sick of making excuses now, D-day.

Bryan Dais has GALLINARI in career best form, although not in well at the weights she can be considered in wide exotics if track gets wet.

*Don’t like steering away from the locals but they look to have their work cut out on this occasion.

 

On Top:     16-  SRIKANDI,    5- LA PIETA

*(Best Mud runners- , GALLINARI, LITTLE BROWN HORSE, LADY COLOURS)

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 Denman filly

Race 6:

PACE: At first glance there does not look much speed however it relies on TROMBONE ALLEY and FINAL CRESCENDO, if they run I have no doubt their tactics have to be to push forward. Still don’t see great speed but should be an even tempo.

Old Mr consistent (BENNYS BUTTONS) will do his thing, he is always around the money and the wet track brings him right into these races as a few others lose their ‘ping’.

ROLLOUT THE CARPET is a genuine Group horse and she is really well placed. Comes off a G1 placing and has a heap of upside. Only question is a real wet track if that eventuates and is gate 1 ok this time of the day?

DANCES ON STARS was only beaten 2.2L on a heavy in a G3 last start, Gerald Ryan knows the horses to bring up here and I think he is the horse to beat.

Personally I’ve had a gutful of trying to catch FILLYDELPHIA but interesting to note her last 3 runs on Slow/Heavy (if that’s what the track gets to) have been by far her best 3. Dare I say that could be the key to her?

*Absolutely nothing would surprise here*

On Top:  5- DANCES ON STARS

Next Best:  2- BENNYS BUTTONS,  12- ROLLOUT THE CARPET

*(Best mud runners- BENNY’S BUTTONS,  FILLYDELPHIA, ROTHERA)

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Race 7:

PACE: FAT AL will roll forward, 5,7,10 take a sit behind possibly.

At first glance was pretty keen on STREAMA here but an interview on RadioTab with Guy Walter has me a bit cold. Walter was adamant she does not want a wet track. My opinion is she can still win but hard to back when a trainer says that.

Why not MORIARTY? Reckon he has found the right race without glowing with confidence. Although this is G2 I have no doubt this is easier than he has been racing in and I’d be very surprised if his next couple aren’t the actual goals Waller has set him for this preparation.

JUNOOB the obvious danger and fav. Nice horse who keeps stepping up.

ANGEL OF MERCY is airborne and seems as though she may be getting better in ‘soft’ ground as indicated by her placing behind Catkins in the Emancipation G2. She will spot them a start but will attack the line late.

Outside of those MR O’CEIRIN may get under the radar and sharp improvement can be expected.

On Top:   2- MORIARTY

Hardest To Beat:  6- JUNOOB,  11- ANGEL OF MERCY,  10- STREAMA

*(Best mud runners- MR O’CEIRIN)

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Race 8:

PACE : Plenty of speed and the big field will be all over the joint, who knows where the best ground will be by this stage?

Gee I was keen to take good odds LONDEHERO here when the field come out but the prospect of a heavy surface has dulled the confidence. He can still run a race but would be more effective on top of the ground.

COSTA VIVA is a beauty, possibly the best horse in the race but again is gate 20 bad? Or may it be a positive? If you can get to the outside and win she is right in this.

DOTHRAKI will sit on pace, gets through the ground and on this track with the short straight that can be a great advantage while others are looking for luck to get out and challenge, you can be off and gone. That is a possibility here. Although he gets through wet I have a feeling a dead track would be perfect for him.

ENQUARE is a bomb fresh and gets through all ground, she must be respected in anything she races in and a recent trial was great. Not much between her and SPLENDORA, one is $6 the other is $31 so throw SPLENDORA in as well. Dry track would get me to have something on SPLENDORA at $31.

HAVANA was 5 weeks between runs on the slow track last start and should be improved into this, respect.

BLACKBOARD SPECIAL is only emergency the moment but if he runs he could be the blowout. Has any amount of ability but is still a little ‘green’ and learning the caper. Very nice horse.

WHISKEY ALLROUND really gets through the mud!

*Tough way to finish the day-*

Working around: Couple drawn in and a couple out- Hows track playing?

 10- ENQUARE,  11- COSTA VIVA,  2- DOTHRAKI

 *(Best mud runner- WHISKEY ALLROUND)

TattsBet

GIBBO BEST BETS:

*Wanted to have a few to back up last week’s good price winners but nothing jumps out this week as a best, just the value below*

 

*Best Interstate-  Melbourne Race 4 No.5- INKULU


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GC Quadrella:

–Not having one today–

 

‘THE PROPHETS’ Best Bets:

*Race 6 No.2- BENNYS BUTTONS

*Race 8 No.11- COSTA VIVA

 

STEVE HEWLETT’S BEST:

Race 3 No.8- AIMEE

 Race 8 No.11- COSTA VIVA

***TATTS MARKET MOVERS  + Gibbo’s DOUBLE TRIO numbers:Tatts never sleeps

To be added