Grafton carnival kicks off

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As people know the Grafton Carnival is one of the places we put a lot of form into and last year was an outstanding carnival with plenty of winners. I will be doing previews on here again next week for the carnival but will be really pushed for time.

Grafton also race Thursday and this Sunday before the carnival ramps up to the highlights Wednesday and Thursday.

 

Here is a look at Thursday:

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Race 1:

Incredibly strong 2yr old maiden with a few QLD trainers popping down with their BOBS horses.

Been waiting for CASUAL WITNESS to hit the track and she draws well to be able to sit right on speed here. She has trialled really well and looks a filly who will go on to win more races.

Respecting MITTERE for the Bougoure team and just not 100% sure about no official trials, may be wound right up here so look for a money trail.

Always respecting whatever Edmonds brings down so see what they accept with.

Liked the run of SCHERZARE for the Cavanough camp, was good on debut after getting back and making good ground. Will be  better for the experience and Skye can park closer from a good gate.

On Top: 7-CASUAL WITNESS $2.90

Hardest To Beat:  5-SCHEZARE, 3-MITTERE

 

 

Race 2:

Thinking a couple of 3yr olds can dominate the older horses here.

THE SLEDGEHAMMER leaves John Sadler who isn’t going real well and joins. D.Bowen who has them running through brick walls on the northern rivers. This horse has the country Vic form which can measure up in Brissy but this is a poor mile maiden at Grafton. Tempo not ideal for him here but should be too good.

STEVEN is working his way up in trip and his last 100m at Lismore was good. Dunn camp will have him ready to go and well placed in this. ACRAMAN can be the best of those up on speed.

On Top: 9-THE SLEDGEHAMMER $2.90

Hardest To Beat: 7-STEVEN, 1-ACRAMAN

 

 

Race 3:

Not one the races i’m that keen on, like drawing a gate here and getting the right run. ARUGULA will be positive and likely to hold the front.

SNIPSTREAM gets the gun run 3rd the fence and the leader should take him into the race. Ear muffs not ideal as it seems most horses improve once they come off but think it’s because he’s played up at the gates. Good quality horse with the gun run, the one to beat.

PHABENI comes off a class 1 one win at Kembla and well suited. Only query is the 2kg spprentice and a sticky gate, will have to make a call early but can win with a good steer.

VIVID PINK and AFRICAN ACADEMY chances but sticky gates not ideal here.

On Top: 3-SNIPSTREAM

On Top: 1-PHABENI $4.40,  10-ARUGULA $26

 

 

Race 4:

Good race and a lot of speed engaged, they should run along and might set up for a swooper. That swooper might be KING LEAR, just like the way he’s been going and gets a tempo that gives him a chance to get home over them.

Of those on speed MYSTIC MOON is very consistent and doesn’t have to lead, can sit right behind the speed and Orman is riding well.

*Not a race I’m overly keen on but might have something e/w KING LEAR.

On Top: 6-KING LEAR $4.40

Hardest To Beat:  5-MYSTIC MOON

 

 

Race 5:

Bit of speed again here and they should string out.

Reckon EVOPEX has a class edge on this but think REAL KAOS and LOOKS LIKE ELVIS have a few more wins in them also.

EVOPEX is probably better suited over 1400-1600m but 6 months between runs means he can race well fresh. No trials to report of so he will either need the run or they are trying to get the best price possible so watch for market moves here.

LOOKS LIKE ELVIS comes off a great trial and has Orman. Issue is where he gets too from the gate? If he gets cover he will be strong late.

Colless will try to hold a spot midfield and make use of the good gate. Good first prep and every chance he takes a step forward off that and one of the main chance here..

ROYAL EQUIANO going well enough to be competitive but Tegan has some work to do from 13.

On Top:  2-EVOPEX $8

Hardest To Beat: 3-LOOKS LIKE ELVIS, 4-REAL KAOS, 8-HELFUCHI 13-ROYAL EQUIANO,

 

 

Race 6:

No.

 

 

Race 7:

I don’t need to be betting here.

 

 

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