Ipswich Cup day

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Well capacity fields around a tight track, what could possibly go wrong?

There will be more unlucky runners come out of this meeting than any other meeting in QLD this year, pretty confident when I say that. Not only will a lot of the ‘get back’ runners have no luck but you will see a lot 2 back and 3 back the fence just have nowhere to go and the leaders with a stitch fall back on top of them.

*We also get 15% Point Of Consumption tax announced this week, I have grave fears for what is in store for QLD and almost certain NSW and VICTORIA won’t make the same decision as QLD and S.A have. Anyway, I will leave that to smarter people than myself (as they have made such great decisions over the past couple of decades!)










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Race 1:

Before you reach for the dartboard just beware they can only run 16 so you won’t need all the numbers! Horses I have time for are BERGERAC, FIT FOR PURPOSE, KING LEAR and DIA DE REYES but anything can and probably will happen here.

BERGERAC is more than up to these but Boris Thornton and I aren’t exactly matching up recently, everything I need him to Zig on he decides to Zag and can’t catch him.

FIT FOR PURPOSE has been great when ridden cold but that might make it impossible on this track? If they ride for luck and he gets it he’s the winner. He drops from Listed level where he had the 2nd fastest last split of the race.

KING LEAR will likely start big odds, last run was better than it appears, far better on top of the ground.

A MIST OPPORTUNITY entered in the Gai Waterhouse as well, only beaten 2.5L at G3 level last start.


Hardest To Beat:  17-KING LEAR $20



Race 2:

Don’t see a great tempo here and feel SABKHAT and TIME LORD can make the most of decent gates to get good runs.

SABKHAT comes off a good win and is rock hard fit now. JAG knows the horse well and I think Ipswich might suit because he can get busy before the corner and be full tilt on straightening, that would make him very hard to catch. Just needs to ride him as he did last start.

TIME LORD bit his tongue in the run last start, how much of an effect does that have on the horse? Buggered if i know but can’t be ideal. Run before was good over Kay Kay Boy and Lloyd takes the ride from the good gate. Does ‘good Jeff’ ride?

ZAMEX was given zero chance last start, blinkers and Corey Brown goes on, chance.

DENBERN and REALING next best.

On Top: 1-SABKHAT  $5

Hardest To beat:  6-TIME LORD,  14-ZAMEX, 12-REALING


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Race 3:

Really impressed with PARKO and TULLIO off their last start wins. Both were on speed and simply too good for the opposition.

They might set a land speed record here so not ideal for them both. TULLIO has great speed but if he tried to cross these he might be susceptible the last 50m. Maybe he’s stronger late if he takes a sit? From the gate PARKO can get the box seat if the pressure is too great  and he gets a lot in his favour here. Nice improving type who is hard to beat.

TIPPING $13 again draws well, got back and flew late on debut, this harder but similar set up and look for her late.

Love THE FIRE TRAP as a horse, gate 16 is horrific and will need luck, has a future.

On Top:  1-PARKO $3.60




Race 4:

Stayers final here, competitive race and easy to make a case for most of them.

I like what I’ve seen in KAY KAY BOY, likely leader and can take a stack of catching. Been working through the grades and going up in trip which has suited, should be rock hard fit and they won’t die wondering up on speed here.

SKYTREK and READY FOR DANGER are the tougher older stayers going well, RFD is in career best form while SKYTREK was a complete forgive last time, the runs before that make him a winning hope.

3yr olds EVOLO, LUCKY JACKSON and TIME LORD all have upside and legitimate chances.

*Might have small bets KAY KAY BOY and SKYTREK.

On Top:  2-SKYTREK $7.50

Hardest To Beat: 6-KAY KAY BOY




Race 5:

No doubt MISS EXFACTOR is flying and the horse to beat, even gets a nice gate but jumps 4.5kg and that’s just enough for me to look around her at the price.

Can’t be here all day making a case for a dozen of them so the two I will be backing are DON’T LEAVE ME OUT and UNLIKELY STORY.

DON’T LEAVE ME OUT had plenty go against last prep and the recent trial says he is flying. Can sit handy behind the good tempo. Down in the weights, good jock and should give a great site for your money around the $5 mark.

UNLIKELY STORY also gets a gate to sit just behind the speed and he was exceptional, almost run of the day last time out behind Winter Bride who has gone on to run well at Listed level since. He is on the upward spiral this bloke and the $7 is a little over the odds.

On Top:  14-UNLIKELY STORY $6.50  ++ 15-DON’T LEAVE ME OUT  $6




Race 6:

Although he jumps in weight SWORD OF JUSTICE will again go forward and be hard to catch. He was very brave at Doomben and it took a good one in TYZONE to run him down. Ipswich should suit.

MANIAS had a nice first trial but his 2nd trial was excellent. Not a fan of the Denman breed as I don’t think many of them are that tough but he looks a bit stronger than most and is obviously in very good shape going into the first up run. Disappointing fresh last prep before being dominant 2nd up, feel that is why he has had the extra trial this time in. On top.

TRUBIA has a bad pattern, bad gate and that equals a bad betting option, however he just needs to turn up in last preps form and he can still win.

On Top: 5-MANIAS $5

Hardest To Beat: 1-SWORD OF JUSTICE,





Don’t really like the cup and not that keen to get involved.

I’ll be having small bets EMPHASIS and MISS DUBOIS at $21. EMPHASIS kicked the prep off in good form and has been kept to 1600m, gets out to the right trip and last run was a pass mark. MISS DUBOIS suited here and forgiving a small field and low tempo race last time.

Obvious chances to the favs and class runners in ECUADOR and TRADESMAN.

*Not keen here. Small interest bets.

Roughies:  3-EMPHASIS $21  ++ 9-MISS DUBOIS $21




Another feature that just looks too hard. Happy that I have the map right but still too many chances.

I’M A RIPPA is much improved, he leads from the improving MOSS’N’DALE and the old gem RELIGIFY. Not far off are MOST IMPORTANT and TYZONE. Winner and trifecta should come from that bunch but best ride might win it.

I’m not betting so not keen to steer you one way or another.




Race 9:

58.5kg is a lot of weight for PLUCKY GIRL and don’t think she is in that well at the weights but she is just going so well and with the good gate Lloyd can get the perfect run in transit. Gets every chance to win.

PAMELO can roll along up front, probably better suited at 1200m but can give a sight around Ipswich.

PLATINUM ANGEL is probably a genuine G3 type mare on the way up so ore than capable of winning but the gate hasn’t made it easy. Will need a great steer from Yendall to get home.

Throw a dart at the rest of them for the multiples!

*Tough way to finish, something PLUCKY GIRL for me.

On Top:  2-PLUCKY GIRL $4.50


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GIBBOS BEST: tough day

Will back Race 5 UNLIKELY STORY $6.50 and DON’T LEAVE ME OUT $4.60

Race 2 SABKHAT $6 e/w

Race 4- SKYTREK $7.50 e/w



Race 2 No.14- ZAMEX