Saturday on ‘THE PUNT’

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Wish they could all be like last weekend!

As you will see this week when you look at the fields you will be in no doubt the carnival is over! As much as it’s great to have the carnival, it’s a lot easier finding winners away from the carnival.

 

*The issue this week is showers predicted Thursday, Friday and Saturday. Obviously that raises questions plus as usual there will be plenty of scratching in the 1050m races.

 

*THIS WILL BE UPDATED 9am SATURDAY morning so be sure to check back in.

 

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Race 1:

This will be knocked about with scratching’s so hard to be confident when mapping this race before those scratching’s.

I don’t agree with many that TOTALLY CHARMED was a moral beaten when he copped a severe check at the Gold Coast last start. No doubt in the world he should have been in the finish. They will probably come for this bloke but not decided if I want to bet yet or not.

Replay of last start

http://www.racingqueensland.com.au/Racing-and-Results/Video-Replays/Search?code=thoroughbred&name=totally+charmed&includetrials=true

On Top:  17-TOTALLY CHARMED

 

 

Race 2:

No speed at all engaged here so which stables change tactics? These can be run the complete opposite of what you think sometimes because everyone sees there is no speed and all decide it’s their chance to lead.

FOXY HOUSEWIFE is the one I have leading because she can give a kick around here with a weight advantage.

PRINCESS POSH is the one I was initially keen on but I’d want Browne to box seat and A) Not sure he will do that. B)Not sure connections will tell him to do that.

ON Top: 1-PRINCESS POSH

Hardest To Beat: 7-FOXY HOUSEWIFE

 

 

 

Race 3:

Still has be beat why a couple of these would be placed here? There are so many races to place a horse and just has me baffled where so many get placed up here in QLD, but i’m sure it’s the same interstate.

Not ideal the three main chances get back in just an avg run race.

PENNINO took a sit last start and finished off so I doubt they would change those tactics but still 1350m has to be a slight query.

RED STINA is one I have never really been on but liked the fresh run where she should nearly have beat home PENNINO and love the fact McGillivray gets the ride. If he can land the horse in front of 4-5 she can sprint better than them.

UNCONDITIONAL probably going better than any of them and the run last week was exceptional when beaten by a good one. Has to go back again which is not ideal but good enough to win.

SOARING HEART the best of those on speed.

*Not that keen but maybe a small bet RED STINA. (last start replay)

http://www.racingqueensland.com.au/Racing-and-Results/Video-Replays/Search?code=thoroughbred&name=red+stina&includetrials=true

On Top:  9-RED STINA $5

Hardest To beat:  1-UNCONDITIONAL, 2-PENNINO, 3-SOARING HEART

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Race 4:

DENBERN probably runs fav. He has been good all prep and again last start was brave after hitting the front a bit soon in a fast run race. Will get the gun run here and the one to beat.

READY FOR DANGER is on the way up and really turned a corner this time in work. From gate 2 Byrne should land midfield and not have to spend a penny in the run.

Best of those at better prices are ENDLESS DAYS and BRILLIANT JET who were only a few lengths off DENBERN at Ipswich, both were good from the back and both looking for the step up in trip so well suited. BRILLIANT JET probably want’s the rain to stay away.

BRILLIANT JETS last start (gets back and comes widest)

http://www.racingqueensland.com.au/Racing-and-Results/Video-Replays/Search?code=thoroughbred&name=brilliant+jet&includetrials=true

*Not sure the play here, again not a race I’ll invest a lot in. If it’s a dry track I could play BRILLIANT JET $26

Roughie if not too wet: 2-BRILLIANT JET $26

*Plenty of hopes in an even race.

 

 

Race 5:

Finally a race with a bit of confidence.

The team behind HALLELUJAH BOY have given him every possible chance to win! Found a class 3 plate, booked D.Browne and have the good gate to give the horse the run of the race. Handles all conditions and looks to be the best on the card.

BRAINS has been very good this prep, again pushes forward from the wide gate and when he finally got a good ride he saluted for the Gollan camp last time. They will take off on or before the corner and try to steal it, Browne will try to be on their back and get a tow into it.

GOLDEN SHEAF improved lengths last time out, can run on but will be spotting the other two a start.

CEDARWOOD and PERSONALISED the next best.

HB last start and form

http://racing.racingnsw.com.au/InteractiveForm/HorseFullForm.aspx?HorseCode=MzczODM4OTcyMA%3d%3d&src=horsesearch

*HALLELUJAH BOY should be winning and BRAINS the main danger. $2 short enough but 

On Top:  1-HALLELUJAH BOY $2.10

Next Best: 4-BRAINS $9

 

 

Race 6:

Really need to just see how many scratch, can only run 13 from this starting point. Gates so important you need to see final field or something close to it.

 

 

Race 7:

Not a race that grabs me. A few too many questions with a few resuming and a possible wet track.

Blackbooked COURTZA KING off a recent trial and may be enough speed engaged to allow him to finish off but I’d want a Good 4 track to back him.

Still amazed at how much MISS IANO has improved since coming north but has to be respected on the form up here.

QIJI PHOENIX is the big question, looked like he’d be a group horse in the making before the long lay off. Now in the powerful Edmonds camp and is the one to beat if there is a money trail.

*Happy to watch and learn in this.

 

 

Race 8:

What a poor open handicap this is!

Just so many out of form. RELIGIFY would piss this in if right but with the chance of a wet track and off the last start he’s hard to come into. SLYDINI is the other who will be up on speed in an avg run race but not 100% sure I can force myself to back SLYDINI…….

*Don’t think I’ll bet here.

 

 

Race 9:

The other race I’m happy to bet into. I know there are owners of NO ANNAMOSSITY who follow the site and I know they have given Boris the ride again here. There is no reason this horse shouldn’t box seat here. THE AMATEUR will try to come across and SWORD OF JUSTICE  will try to hold the fence, if they settle like that at an even tempo you want to be on their backs so he can start waking the horse up before the corner as he takes some riding. If a horse like PRIMAL FLIGHT crosses behind them and NO ANNAMOSSITY ends up three pairs back (still good enough to win) but asking for trouble around Doomben with a horse like him. If ridden right he should have no excuses and win.

Never thought of STELLA OMBRA as a 1350m horse but he is in really good form and comes off a good quality group race. Schweida stable are in form, just seems a weird place to put the horse.

SWORD OF JUSTICE goes for the feather weight and no doubt they try to get them off the bit before the corner so if the others jocks are asleep it might be all over.

Not a great fresh record with GLENDARA but after getting some ordinary steers and tactics wrong they got McGillivray and their fortunes tunred. Lacy goes on here to claim the 3kg? Anyway, the $14 looks a little over the right odds.

Money will tell the story with DESMONDS PRIDE. Drifted fresh and went like a busted. Backed 2nd up improved but still not good. Might have needed the fitness.

*NO ANNAMOSSITY looks one of the better bets for the day (but he did last time too)

On Top:  3-NO ANNAMOSSITY $4.40

Hardest To Beat:  2-GLENDARA $14,  5-DESMOND’S PRIDE, 6-SWORD OF JUSTICE

 

bonus 200

 

GIBBOS BEST:

 

Race 9 No.3- NO ANNAMOSSITY $4.40

 

‘THE PROPHETS’ BEST:

Race 2 No.7- FOXY HOUSEWIFE

Race 3 No.9- RED STINA

 

SHANE CIURLEOS BEST:

 

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