‘The Punt’ Eagle Farm

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Welcome to Brissyraces weekend on ‘The Punt’. All is well in the world of ‘THE PUNT’ and I’m sure all punters are keen to keep our run going!

You can hear a little chat here– 

http://www.helter-skelter.com.au/

****The talk of the town is the bad luck for myself and mates syndicate who lost on protest Wednesday with COUNTY COMMANDS, many people have blown up deluxe which I agree with considering protests I have been involved in that have been dismissed and were far worse. I have talked to guys I really respect in the game and they feel it should have been upheld, but do agree with the point I made in the article about how the other was far worse and we didn’t get the cash there either.

I’m still filthy.

 

*As usual this is simply my view of the weekend races, feel free to do what you want with the info, there is no cost, no betting strategies so feel free to print off or send to racing friends!

*Prices are www.tatts.com prices at time of typing*

 blackbook

BLACKBOOK Runners:

FRIDAY:

Tambo’s   Jewel –   Sunshine Coast R7 No.4 (1400m): Should probably be winning here.  WINNER- WON WELL!
SATURDAY,   22 MARCH 2014
Black   Magic Miss –   Ascot R6 No.8 (1400m): Will be amongst it.
French   Lesson –   Eagle Farm R3 No.2 (1600m): Well suited again, luck from gate the key.
Allknight   Saint –   Eagle Farm R3 No.15 (1600m): Same as above comment.
Listen   Son –   Eagle Farm R4 No.1 (1500m): Dry track should win, opposite on wet.
Harbor   Springs –   Eagle Farm R5 No.12 (2103m): Jump in trip, can still run ok.
The   Storeman –   Eagle Farm R7 No.3 (1200m): Should win.
Tambo’s   Jewel –   Eagle Farm R8 No.10 (1400m): Friday night or here?

 

 

 

 

NOTE: The EAGLE FARM track played very ordinary last Saturday with a DEAD surface, the rail has gone back in which may help but if the showers are about just be a bit careful!

Also it is no surprise our good run has coincided with a run of GOOD tracks. If this EAGLE FARM track gets rain it can makes things very difficult and confidence drops.

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Race 1:

Worried about the price NO PROBLEM as he is the obvious one here. He will love the big track 1400m. The win last time was very good and only goes up 1kg for the win.

The best of the lightly raced brigade could be FIRST DRAFT which was a bit green on debut and didn’t really know what it was all about. Munce has had a sit on the horse now and it will be lengths better for the experience. Should run well.

SHADOWSIDE and JACK BE QUICK the best of the rest.

On Top:  1- NO PROBLEM

Next Best:   4- FIRST DRAFTMaluaRacing...

 

 

Race 2:

I thought THE STOREMAN would be a moral in this race and Gollan decided to save him for a later race which may be a sign of confidence he can get the job done with PURE PURRFECTION? She is a solid horse but a long time out of the winners circle. She will again run well and again be amongst the money.

There is enough speed for this to be fair but by no means a helter skelter affair. I do think if they happen to inject more speed than I anticipate or the track is better to be wide ROCK ACADEMY and HLUDOWIG are more than capable of running over these. I think ROCK ACADEMY is well above average and with Colless and 54.5kg he can explode late. (I did think he’d be closer to $6 than $3 !)

WRITE CHEEK was tried over a mile last prep and I feel she may just be a sprinting mare who can give this a shake fresh. She wasn’t far off Pickabee, Jacquetta and co over 1200-1300m last prep.

*A saying is back the 1000m horses in 1000m races, but I think ROCK ACADEMY and to a lesser extent HLUDOWIG can be competitive with the pure short course horses.

On Top:  7- ROCK ACADEMY

Hardest To Beat:   8- PURE PURRFECTION,  3- HLUDOWIG,  9- WRITE CHEEK

 

 

Race 3:

YUCK! This is tough, capacity field No Metrop Win over 1600m…

My only rule with races like this is you have to try and find value because anything can happen with some of the favourites drawing the carpark etc. That is easier said than done though!

FRENCH LESSON is screaming to win one of these and EF suits, claim suits and again just needs a pinch of luck from the gate. Three wide with cover would probably be ok in my opinion.

Blinkers off ALLKNIGHT SAINT and he may be ridden quietly? I liked the way he hit the line at the coast and this may be the opportunity to try it again. In saying that he is a terrific wet tracker and if we get the rain he can push forward and probably run them into the ground as he excels in it. NOTE: This horse is in a race at the Gold Coast where he would probably lap them so don’t be surprised if Herne takes him there for a ‘kill’.

Big fan MR HONOUR although I’m not that keen dropping back in trip in 7 days and has gate 19? Afraid to say no as he is very honest.

AL NOVA ran well in what I reckon is a bloody handy race last start, will push forward and the last 100m may be the query?

I wouldn’t be surprised if QUICK WITTED rolled forward here and with just 52.5kg will give a kick. VAZ DE TORRES ran over the top of a couple of handy mares from the Gollan camp last start and drops 4kg from the win. Must be respected.

*Many more chances but we can’t have them all!

I rambled on about value but the market seems about right?

On Top:      2- FRENCH LESSON      +    9- QUICK WITTED

Value:    15- ALLKNIGHT SAINT

 

pineapple

 

Race 4:

WAIT UNTIL RACE START TO BE BETTING HERE.

If it is dry LISTEN SON should be beating them, he is an extremely good horse when the track is hard. If we get heavy rain he won’t run, even if we get a Dead 5 his chances are downgraded and the race is hard to work out. Fingers crossed we have a dry track and he puts his best foot forward.

RENEWED VITALITY is always a chance but personally I have had enough of him and if LISTEN SON is dishing it up to him I don’t think he can cope.

LADY ECHELON is a class mare who is the opposite to LISTEN SON and would love a drop of rain. Her run over 1350m was terrific 1st up and she was strong late. Nat McCall is a very good trainer who would have her ready to win.

WAR ENDS the other winning chance for mine.

ARCHITECT- I can’t catch him, who knows!

On Top:   1- LISTEN SON  (if dry)      +      9- LADY ECHELON  (if sting is out)

 

 

 

 

Race 5:

What a way to kick the quaddie off…

A lot of horses jumping up in trip??

Have been following HARBOR SPRINGS and wanted it to get to 1800m this run but instead jumps 500m to 2100? He does look the one on the way up but gee these races are hard to work out.

Thought UNO FIVE can represent value around $21

I can make a case why each can win and I can also find a negative for each!

We got it right going ‘field’ in the main leg of the quaddie last week and I am seriously thinking of the same here.

*Maybe one quaddie with the 12 straight out and another with the field…

On Top:   12- HARBOR SPRINGS (but not doing cartwheels to have a bet here)

Value:   2- UNO FIVE

Denman filly

Race 6:

Scratching’s will play a big part as there is a heap of speed drawn wide. If they all run it will be a race run at a great clip!

Well if you go wide in the first leg of the quad you will be looking to shorten this leg but it’s not much easier!

I just have so much time for QUEEN OF THE LOCHS I have to have her in the money again. The prep has seemed to be all over the place a bit but I think she is best on top of the ground and she should get a lovely run behind the speed and get every chance.

LITTLE BIT DITSY has had the perfect lead up into this. She gets in an ok spot with the pace on and that will suit her just fine as she can rocket late. TORNADO MISS has good ability and may run well fresh with Colless on board, that’s worth a length!

Steve O’Dea has a big role to play with three good chances. NOTASINGLEMOMENT may be the outsider of his three but by no means the outsider in the race. FAIRYTALE BELLE camps 5th-6th behind the speed and gets every chance off an 8 week let-up. BEATNIKS may well be the best of the lot? She improved out of sight each run and comes into this jumping from a maiden but she is untapped and has to be respected.

Les Ross has done a super job with SOME CALL HER WILD and although she will want further Brad Stewart can sit her wherever he wants from an inside draw and she is very honest. Watch any money trail.

DAYELA and TOTAL AUTHORITY best of the rest in a very even fillies race…..

On Top:  3- LITTLE BIT DITSY

Hardest To Beat:  1- QUEEN OF THE LOCHS,  10- BEATNIKS

 

 

 

Race 7:

At first look THE STOREMAN looks the best of all good things. However a few things have to be considered at the short quote. He had has 5 starts at EF for no wins and just 2 placings. He has won 1 of 10 at the 1200m and 5 placing’s to go with that. Those stats don’t say he can’t win but it does say he is bloody short for a horse who really has not proved himself as a strong 1200m runner around a tougher course than his favoured Doomben. He gets every chance from gate 2 and 3rd up here.

KEMPELLY looks most likely to cause some heart flutters in fav backers, although he has some issues of his own coming from gate 13 after his last two wins have been from gate 1. If he gets in 5th-6th he can make a race of it but that is a big if…

THEFT will probably push forward and try to sit outside of his stablemate THE STOREMAN. I actually think this is a good race for him.

STAR SAMMY always thereabouts and gets the gun run in transit for Stewart.

Forgiving punters may look at INTERJECT and EXOTIC SEQUEL who are good horses coming of horror runs…

On Top:  3- THE STOREMAN

Hardest To Beat:      6- STAR SAMMY,

 

 

 

Race 8:

The top two DOCTOR DAVID and BUAKAW are the leading chances but it is significant that that have jockey changes. Wiggins and Colless get off for Wolfgram and Goold. Nothing against those two but the two horses have a great combination with those leading jock’s.

KURTLEY is an underrated 4yr old who camps just off the pace and will be strong late. He has won 2 from 3 second up and looks value at $10. SINGLE SPIRIT beat him home last time at Armidale and I think she is also a classy animal and in this up to her ears! Thompson stays on her and that is another key point.

Happy to go the visitors in KURTLEY and SINGLE SPIRIT.

On Top:   4- KURTLEY     +    5- SINGLE SPIRIT

TattsBet

 

GIBBO BEST BETS:

Brisbane Race 7 No.3- THE STOREMAN

-Gold Coast Race 5 No.4 SNAPCRACKLE

Brisbane Race 8 No.4 - KURTLEY  e/w  @ $12

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BRISBANE Quadrella:

2,3,4,7,8,11,12 —– 1,2,3,4,5,8,10,16 —— 3,6,7 ——- 1,4,5

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This weeks ‘Longshot’- (Can be found on other article on the Home Page)

 

 

THE PROPHETS’ Best Bets:

Sydney Race 7 No.10 -BONARIA

Brisbane Race 3 No.9 – QUICK WITTED

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Steve Hewlett’s Best:

ITS A DUNDEEL

 

***TATTS MARKET MOVERS  + Gibbo’s DOUBLE TRIO numbers:

 

COOLMORE CLASSIC    $100,000 JACKPOT trifecta.