‘THE PUNT’ Eagle Farm – August 10th

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I thought we may have a few more enter the COMPETITION last week but it was JIM from Toowoomba who won the tickets to the Broncos. This week’s comp will be run through FACEBOOK as I get a better response, so head to Facebook and ‘LIKE’ the brissyraces page and there will be something up tonight with more tickets up for grabs.

 

We head to Eagle Farm and it looks a magic weekend for racing. We just have to dust ourselves off from a couple of weeks of blowouts.

*This preview is simply my view of the Brisbane card, do what you want with the information. Feel free to PRINT it off after 9am Saturday morning when selections are final after scratchings or head to the PINEAPPLE HOTEL where you can find a copies printed off for you!!

 

TRACK—EAGLE FARM

Rail-   +2.5m the entireblackbook

Surface- GOOD

 

BLACKBOOK RUNNERS:

 

SATURDAY, 10 AUGUST 2013
Accrual – Belmont R4 No.6 (1600m):
Teronado – Eagle Farm R4 No.2 (1300m):
Prussian Heart – Eagle Farm R4 No.4 (1300m):
Avaladyluck – Eagle Farm R6 No.6 (1200m):
Dane Princess – Eagle Farm R7 No.5 (1500m):
Gotitallwrong – Eagle Farm R7 No.10 (1500m):
SUNDAY, 11 AUGUST 2013
Special Miss – Casino R3 No.1 (1900m):

 

 

**Let’s get down to business. All prices are www.tatts.com prices at time of typing**

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Race 1:

Great little race to kick things off. ABEBISI and FUNTANTES have a class edge on these which should see them fight it out, but if they run along DELAGO BOLT and FALINO who trialled very well lately may be live chances.

If ADEBISI is at his best he would be extremely hard to beat here, but his Grafton run was horrible. He simply has to be taken on trust.

FUNTATNTES didn’t have much luck in Sydney, she comes back, gets a cheap run with no weight and I will put her on top without going overboard.

*Not getting too involved but small bet for me in the first for the hell of it.

*My Bet: Trifecta   3 – 1,2,5 — 1,2,5    $15  = 250%

 

 

Race 2:

Another one of these staying races sending people broke.. Anyone had enough of FLYING HOME yet? I am on for one last time! Again gets things to suit and in all honesty probably should have won last start. He gets Munce on top, 54.5 and gate 7 which is perfect. No excuses today.

Forget RETUNE went around as he was last in a race they walked in. He may be some value in trifecta’s.

AWESOME RANSOM and MALING probably the best of the rest but not a great race.

On Top:  10- FLYING HOME

 

 

 

Race 3:

This looks very clear cut to me. VINTAGE MOSS and TAIL AND ALL have found extremely suitable races and should be the two, even with the ordinary gates.

Really liked VINTAGE MOSS’ trial and is primed here with Matheson claiming 2kg. He should sit in the first 3-4 easily here and be the one to catch. At close to $4 I’m more than willing to have a play.

If the price allows, and it looks as though it will, a saver on TAIL AND ALL around $6-7 could be worth thought. He was terrific 1st up last prep behind Time To Plunder and although he may spot VINTAGE MOSS a start he will come hard late.

ALDINI, STARSTREAMED and WIND WAND for trifecta’s but I find it hard to think they can beat the top two…

On Top:  1- VINTAGE MOSS

Hardest To Beat:  2- TAIL AND ALL

 

 

Race 4:

A really interesting 3yr old race. A couple will push forward but I don’t see a heap of pace. TERONADO was very good fresh and the 1200m was just too short. Getting to the 1300m on the bigger track is extremely suitable and the early pace is the only question as he will get back in the run.

PRUSSIAN HEART and VOODOO BLUE MAGIC finished next to each other last start but I liked the way PRUSSIAN HEART fought and I think around $6 he must be given serious thought.

SEPT DE COEURS steps up from a very easy Sunny coast win and CANISBAY can be respected but I do like TERONADO and PRUSSIAN HEART.

On Top:  2- TERONADO,   4- PRUSSIAN HEART

 

Matt Dunn Racing

 

Race 5:

GAROZZO and ROCK HOME LATE can get a pretty nice lead here and therefore make them a bit of value in trifecta’s etc. ROCK HOME LATE $15 is lengths better on top of the ground so don’t dismiss him. He drops 7.5kg on previous run.

KURTLEY is airborne at present and Hammersley simply has to find some cover for him to be right in the finish. This isn’t a tough starting point but they won’t make it easy for him.

FERMENT reversed some ordinary form last start and on that win can go close again for Cahill.

REVITALISE (SCRATCHED)$21 is another roughie who must be considered from a good gate on the back-up for a stable that is on fire at present.

MUKADDAMAH SON stays at 1600m which is a slight query but on best form can be competitive.

*Good race. Happy to have small bet on ROCK HOME LATE at big odds, and KURTLEY just needs some luck, or Hammersley magic.

Value:  7- ROCK HOME LATE  @  $15

Hardest To Beat:   8- KURTLEY, 4- FERMENT,

 

 

 

Race 6:

Not overly keen the $2.70 AVALADYLUCK but what beats her?? She comes off four very good runs this prep including 2 great runs behind Discreet. Bell should be able to use gate 2 and sit 5th-6th early and if she gets off the fence it’s hard to see these holding her off.

DIVINE CITY is a good mare on her day and she seems to have returned well. Munce and gate 3 are a big help and she is the biggest danger to the fav.

Prepared to give TICKET TO DREAM one more chance for Matt Dunn. She had no chance in a race they walked in last start and her effort to finish so close was good. This is her most suitable race so far this prep and from gate 4 Colless can nurse her for a longtime. The $15 looks a bit of value and worth consideration in those going wide in quaddies.

You can make a case for a lot of others but we don’t have all day..

On Top:  6- AVALADYLUCK

Others:  3-DIVINE CITY,  9- TICKET TO DREAM

 

MaluaRacing...

 

Race 7:

Can’t believe DANE PRINCESS (SCRATCHED)will go around $15 again here. Her form has been very good and her run last week in a highly unsuitable race was huge. She will give them something to catch back to fillies and mares race.

ELLAWISDOM also gets into a nice race for her and but you do have to think she is a bit of a ‘gunna’ horse. She always runs well but struggles towin in town. This is as good of a chance as she’s had.

GOTITALLWRONG has been very consistent, Eagle Farm suits and a win wouldn’t surprise at all.

Brian Smith stable is going particularly well and I am respecting DANYME and ELUSIVE STORM from good gates in an open race.

*Open race and tough leg of the quaddie. Each to their own but I’m looking for value.

 

Working around:  12- DANYME,  9- ELLAWISDOM,  10- GOTITALLWRONG

 

 

 

Race 8:

Another good race to finish the day.. Or an even race anyway.

I’m putting a bit of faith in ST ANDREWS. He is yet to fully convince me but gets his chance here. Colless is an incredible front runner and he can roll forward here on ST ANDREWS and I am sure the 1500m is a plus. $6.50 probably is a fair price on the e/w mark as he is tough and puts his head out!

Punters know I’m a SIR KNOX fan and this more than suitable for him and Munce stays on which is a good pointer.

LITTLE LONG HORN has plenty against but gets the 2kg claim and does have a bit of class on some of these, while MANICERO (SCRATCHED) put in a ‘career best’ last start. Can he back it up? Hard to say no.

SWINGIN’ DAZZLER and CASTING STONES the next best, both need things to go their way but are up to this.

On Top:  9- ST ANDREWS e/w 

 

 

 ***Selections final after 9am Saturday*** Check back in for any changes after that****

 

 

GIBBOS BEST BETS  (more than usual but looks a good day)Brissyraces Image

Brisbane Race 3 No.1 – VINTAGE MOSS

Brisbane Race 6 No.6 – AVALADLUCK

Sydney Race 6 No.3 -  BULL POINT

Melbourne Race 9 No.16 – ARE THERE ANY

Best Each-Way- Brisbane Race 8 No.9 – ST ANDREWS

 

 

 

BRISBANE QUADRELLA:

2,4,5,7,8, —- 3,6,9 —– 9,10,12,14 —- 2,5,9,12

 

‘THE PROPHETS’ BEST BETS:

Brisbane Race 7 No.14 – ELUSIVE STORM

Melbourne Race 4 No.11 – STAR LANI

 

 

TATTS         Jackpots and Market Movers:tattsbet

 

JACKPOT ALLOCATION

 

forSaturday, 10 August 2013

 

POOL VENUE (CODE) RACE CARRYOVER RACE NAME
TF EAGLE FARM (BR) ALL $10,000 RACES 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 & 8
TF MORPHETTVILLE (AR) ALL $10,000 RACES 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 & 8
TT MORPHETTVILLE (AR) - $17,719 RACES 6, 7 & 8

 

POOL VENUE (CODE) RACE CARRYOVER RACE NAME
F4 ALBION PARK (BT) 5 $5,000 RISING STARS C’SHIP FINAL (C4 TO 5)
F4 ALBION PARK (BT) - $2,000 RACES 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 8 & 9
TF ALBION PARK (BT) 1 $20,000 M1 ONLY
TF GLOBE DERBY (AT) 1 $10,000 C5 TO C7

POOL VENUE (CODE) RACE CARRYOVER RACE NAME
F4 WENTWORTH PARK (SG) 6 $1,000 STATE SPRINT C’SHIP FINAL
F4 WENTWORTH PARK (SG) 8 $1,000 STATE DISTANCE C’SHIP FINAL
F4 CANNINGTON (PG) 3 $1,000 STATE DISTANCE C’SHIP FINAL
F4 CANNINGTON (PG) 5 $1,000 STATE SPRINT C’SHIP FINAL

*bet responsibly

 

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