‘The Punt’ Sydney quaddie preview

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I have decided to do a special double of ‘THE PUNT’ this week. I will go over the Quadrella legs in Sydney and Brisbane as the preview races.  This is obviously the SYDNEY preview. I hope I haven’t confused you with two separate pages, but with Brisbane acceptances coming out later (which is ridiculous) I thought this would be better.

Blackbookers in Sydney:

ALL TOO HARD RANDWICK R5 No.2 (1400m)
MUIRFIELD  RANDWICK R8 No.12 (2600m)

 

 

Race 6: I simply think this is a case of how far if Kav has ATLANTIC JEWEL ready to go. I’m sure he will as she is a star and they are just looking at a couple of runs with her this time in work. She was beating MOSHEEN easily and we now know how good she is. I think she will win, but $1.50 is a price I won’t take, probably just play quaddies etc. For those looking at trifecta’s, MORE STRAWBERRIES and MID SUMMER MUSIC look the next obvious horses which is usually the case in these set weights and penalties races. Not keen however to steer punters into others in the race.

*I’m sticking with ‘the freak’.

On Top: 2-ATLANTIC JEWEL

Next Best: 1-MORE STRAWBERRIES, 3-MID SUMMER MUSIC

 

Race 7: The Derby can sometimes be a little overrated in my book and actually contain some avg fields. I don’t feel that’s the case here. This looks very good. I’m sure they will lead with SANGSTER and LASER HAWK should be outside or behind him, depending on how hard they want to go in the lead. SILENT ACIEVER is the NZ Derby winner and was outstanding in the Rosehill Guineas. Can a small filly back up a performance that would have taken a bit out of her and win a Derby a fortnight later? Usually I’d bet against it but she looks like a very special horse. With the opinion I have of her I have to have her on top, but I admit the amount of racing she has had does make it tough, and I think she is short enough in the market! OCEAN PARK is the other kiwi and super chance here. His run was as hard as the filly and he pleased Glen Boss who talked them into running here (why wouldn’t talk them into it for the jockeys %) He should possie up midfield and get every chance here for the best distance rider in the country. LASER HAWK is the Rosehill Guineas winner coming into this, should get the pace to suit, he has Nash on top which ticks a lot of boxes. Again I think he is too short in the market, but will run well. There are two great outside chances in my mind and I think they may be the best 2400m+ horses in the future. Whether the Derby has come around too quickly is the question, but on the other side of the equation you could say the fav’s have had a heap of hard racing while these two are the horses still untapped and on the way up. So what are they? POLISH KNIGHT and ETHIOPIA. The Hawkes camp has POLISH KNIGHT who won impressively last week and was super strong the last 50m and actually put a length on REKINDLED ALLIANCE over the last 50m or so and won with his ears pricked. He looks very good and if he learned a bit and improves off last week he’s right in this. ETHIOPIA has gone from strength to strength and I’ve liked all his runs. He has made long wide runs his last couple and I think they will try to sit a touch closer and try not to give too big of a start to the leaders as he is a true stayer and may not be able to sprint if they go soft up front. He goes in all my multiples. They are the horses I think can win the race. With not much pace up front and the blinkers coming off SANGSTER I feel he can run a much improved race and at $41 he may just be a rough chance fall into first 4’s.

 

DERBY NUMBERS:


13- SILENT ACHIEVER

11-ETHIOPIA

8-POLISH KNIGHT

2-LASER HAWK

 1-SANGSTER


Race 8: Think PERMIT may be one of the best bets on the card, and possibly a good quinella horse with others I give a chance to. PERMIT was impressive beating Precedence last start, he’s a real improver with a great race record, on the 53kg minimum and he’s the one that looks like the one they all have to get past. EFFICIENT has a great record and was pretty good in the Australian Cup 2000m. The massive plus is the 2600m here as he has excelled every time he gets over 2400m+. The 59kg is not a concern for me at all and I’d expect him to run in the money otherwise it may be retirement. MUIRFIELD is a much improved horse this prep and I think he is the biggest danger to PERMIT. It has been a few weeks between runs but I like the way he puts his head down for the fight these days. Don’t underestimate. Gai’s pair OLDER THAN TIME and ONCE WERE WILD are the best of the rest.

On Top: 5-PERMIT

Next Best: 12-MUIRFIELD, 1-EFFICIENT, 3-ONCE WERE WILD.

 

Race 9: As much as I’d love to own any of these horses I’d walk nude through town if one of these were able to win a Doncaster! It lacks a heap of class and the horses we seen last week were the real Doncaster chances. For that reason I have simply gone for the class horse and that is FORETELLER. He is double figure odds and the Randwick track will suit him perfectly. He may need one more run, but if the pace is on he will rattle late and class can prevail. Happy to back him e/w. The next line of chances for mine is SPEEDINESS, RASPBERRIES and REVOLT. SPEEDINESS is becoming a liability so it is D-Day for him. He did have some excuses and was sore after last run, so he may get one more chance.RASPBERRIES is a quality mare and with a touch of luck she can win without surprising. REVOLT has struck wet tracks and gets a good surface, he will start way over the odds I feel. FAST CLIP at his best can be very cheeky but he’d have to improve lengths on last start. 6,11,14,15,17 all some hope in a race you could run 20 times and get a new winner each time!

On Top value: 1-FORETELLER

Next Best: 12-SPEEDINESS, 9-RASPBERRIES, 18-REVOLT

 

SYDNEY QUADRELLA selections:

2 —– 2,8,11,13 —– 1,3,5,12 —– 1,9,10,12,17,18

**Remember to check in after 8.30am Saturday for any changes after scratchings**

 

The Prophet’s Best

Sydney Race 8 no 1 EFFICIENT ew

Sydney Race 9 no 9 RASPBERRIES ew

 

TATTSBET have a $125000 jackpot pool for the quaddie, check it and others out here, or click on the banner on the right hand side of the page!

JACKPOT ALLOCATION

for

Saturday, 14 April 2012

 

 

POOL

VENUE

RACE

CARRYOVER

RACE NAME

QD

DOOMBEN (BR)

-

$125,000

RACES 5, 6, 7 & 8

QD

RANDWICK (SR)

-

$125,000

RACES 6, 7, 8 & 9

 

 

 

 

 

 

POOL

VENUE

RACE

CARRYOVER

RACE NAME

F4

ALBION PARK (BT)

5

$2,000

RQIS 3YO FILLIES FINAL

F4

ALBION PARK (BT)

7

$2,000

RQIS 3YO C&G FINAL

F4

MENANGLE (ST)

6

$2,000

HONDO GRATTAN STAKES

F4

MILDURA (MT)

7

$2,000

MILDURA PACING CUP FINAL

TT

GLOBE DERBY (AT)

-

$8,603

RACES 4, 5 & 6

 

 

*Bet responsibly of course.

**For those who care for my thought on the ‘Match Races’. I like RAIN AFFAIR to beat Foxwedge, and I think ALL TOO HARD will beat PIERRO. Like everyone else, I’m damn excited to watch!!

**The Brisbane Punt section will be up later. Good luck if you have a bet guys!