Weekend on ‘The Punt’

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Apologies to those who are on the site for the first time, we usually have a detailed look into the each Brisbane race.

Just a massive week for myself personally so we have to scrap that this week.

Here is a quick run down.

Race 1:

The worst Saturday race I can ever remember, I’m embarrassed for Racing Qld. SIZZLING BABE should win but i want $2.70+ to bet. Opened $1.45 and I’m not that much of a thrillseeker!

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Race 2:

Nah.

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Race 3:

Reckon CORMAC will take the most improvement from the race a fortnight ago, does he still need one more? Possibly but expecting sharp improvement. Not a KUBIS fan but good option with the claim and he’ll look the winner at the 200m.

On Top: 2-CORMAC $6

++ 1-KUBIS $6

Next Best: PERFECT WITNESS.

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Race 4:

Perfect race for MANAYA but she still has to lump the weight. Surely they are more positive here, they have to land in the first three pairs and she is clearly the class here.

SHALWA looked poor at $1.45 last start, does get blinkers, Lloyd and a pull in the weights here, not writing her off just yet.

On Top: 1-MANAYA $7

Next Best: 12-SHALWA

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Race 5:

EF really suits the big striding FRANCISCA, she’s been excellent both runs here. She doesn’t really put field away and I’d love to see a set of winkers or something tried but she was wide the trip last start and the ride wasn’t great as she was left in front at the 300m after the tough run. She was brave and can make amends here.

CRUZE frustrates the shit out of me. He has talent but is a ‘gunna’ horse. Comes out of a hot MM race back to this so gets yet another chance.

ZOUCARA 3/3 this prep and extremely strong last start this track. Live chance. SUILVEN $26 can be the best of the on pacers, good gate and fitter.

On Top: 9-FRANCISCA $4

Hardest To Beat: 12-ZOUCARA, 7-SUILVEN

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Race 6:

Pretty keen ROCKNAVAR here. We nearly got the chocolates at $16 last start but the check at the 800m may well have cost us the race. She was the strongest late, out to 1812m suits and she should box seat here with a light weight. Happy to take $4+.

Like the claim for ALPINE DANCER but the gate isn’t ideal. He can improve and the 1800 also suits MULLAGHMORE and DAWSON DIVA.

On Top: 11-ROCKNAVAR $4.40

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Race 7:

Was keen to back IMPASSE but confidence drops a bit each time i go over the race, more because I feel there are so many chances more so than confidence in IMPASSE. He does sit closer than all the other main hopes so feel he will be the one they have to catch (if they ride him right, I’d box seat behind leader in a slow run race). VELADERO the main danger in my mind, assuming Fradd had decided to ride it instead of IMPASSE who he rode last start.

On Top: 9-IMPASSE $5

Next Best: 6-VALADERO

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Race 8:

Little surprised CAPITAL CONNECTION runs here instead of the 1000m race but he can still win with a good Lloyd ride. No doubt in my mind the horse goes better for Lloyd and the last start win was what I’ve been waiting to see, he can continue to progress.

KING LEAR was excellent his first two runs here before going to Syd in a better race than this and he just got too far out of his ground as well as being outclassed. Don’t like the 60kg but he has carried weight before and this is a suitable race.

MASTERATI and TONSOR are the leaders, both decent horses, TONSOR has a bit of upside and he can lead for a long way but it’s not easy to lead all the way here. ON THE SPOT can run better than odds suggest.

*leaning to CAPITAL CONNECTION and KING LEAR as the market is but they will both need good rides from the gates and at current prices I can probably live without betting.

On Top: 4-CAPITAL CONNECTION ++ 1-KING LEAR

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Race 9:

What do they do with BACCARAT BABY? From a gate I’d have been keen but they either go all the way back or they find the back of SHADAL and follow him wherever he goes because he will take them into the race and even if three wide they’d have cover. Still needs luck but at $9.50 opening price she was worth a dabble.

RECKLESS CHOICE picked them up and spat them out last start, he’s the obvious again.

EMINENET was good but has the weight.

On Top: 9-BACCARAT BABY $8 ++ 4-RECKLESS CHOICE $3.70

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GIBBOS BEST:

Race 6 No.11- ROCKNAVAR $4.20

THE PROPHET’S BEST:

Race 6- ROCKNAVAR

Race 9- RECKLESS CHOICE