The forecasts have been horribly wrong over the last couple of weeks so it’s a guessing game again. Showers all week and we won’t know what the track will be rated until just before every race. Once they chop it up, if we get 5mm of rain it could get to a heavy very quickly.
Not a race that really interests me punting wise this year because of that.
Even though (1) Jimmystar will nearly certainly need further, he is fit and the rain might bring a few back to him over the 1200m. Pace should be even and he can be the strongest late.
(2) Private Eye is a beauty, doesn’t know how to run poorly. In recent times they have taken the small step back from Group 1’s and he’s been exceptional. This isn’t the strongest 10,000 we have seen and the draw is perfect for him.
(12) Grafterburners also a colt and has an outstanding record (13:6:1:3). Hasn’t missed a place over the 1200m in seven race starts. Has won 2 of 3 second up.
The X-factor for me is (13) Skybird. She is extremely good on her day but tailing off last in Adelaide was a shock. Was beaten les than 1L by Joliestar the run before that. I’d have had a small bet if she drew better but the gate is a horror.
Napoleonic and Beadman are very good 3yr olds but not the best of the best. This isn’t the strongest 10,000 and they can win here for sure. Track shouldn’t worry them and right in this.
That is a guide for you but I don’t want to bet to be honest.
